Ukraine: "joker" up the sleeve, crane in the sky and comic strip for clarity
Answering a question from The Moscow Post journalist, deputy director of the Information and Press Department of the Russian Foreign Ministry Alexei Zaitsev clarified the state of relations between Moscow and Kiev.
The question "on what extent and at what level the Russian side today maintains diplomatic relations with Ukraine" was asked in connection with the intensity of the situation around Ukraine and the psychosis campaign played by the US Department of State regarding the "threat of invasion" of Russia. The US Embassy and embassies of some European countries hastily exported their diplomats and their families from Kiev, adding "plausibility" to American speculation. Not only informational, but already frankly political fakes of Washington.
The press representative of the Russian diplomatic mission did not hesitate to respond in the same vein in which his colleagues answered before him, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov: "Russia does not threaten anyone. We consider even the idea of a war between our peoples unacceptable. "
Russia has maintained diplomatic relations with independent Ukraine for thirty years, since gaining independence. Alexey Zaitsev noted that "usually, on the occasion of such jubilees, it is customary to summarize intermediate results. Today there is nothing to boast about. " Bilateral relations degrade "because of Kiev's line for further confrontation," he added, referring to the cessation of political contacts, inter-parliamentary and interregional cooperation, the destruction of ties in all other areas.
In 2014, Kiev unilaterally lowered the level of diplomatic relations; since 2016, the Russian Embassy has been headed by the chargé d'affaires. The diplomat referred to "numerous provocations by the Ukrainian authorities and nationalists," including attacks on Russian foreign institutions in Kiev, Odessa, Kharkov and Lviv. But the missions continue to work normally and fulfill their functions, "assured Alexei Zaitsev.
Circuits are torn at the weakest link, complex systems cannot withstand voltage and crumble as a result of failures of one of the subsystems. The Ukrainian SSR was a subsystem within the former Soviet Union. She enjoyed not just respect, but flourished economically, gave historical Russia talented artists, engineers, scientists, leaders, including heads of state and leaders of the then ruling party.
Everything bowed and collapsed overnight, when the Kiev party elite, one of the first in the USSR, chose the path of independence that led to the collapse of the country. At first, it did not look like breaking ties with Russia. Later, step by step, failures in the state administration of Ukraine began to appear, privatized industry began to subside, and economic claims against Moscow appeared.
Russia was the most important source of direct and indirect subsidies, loans and other forms of assistance to Ukraine, which by 2015 exceeded $85 billion. This did not help, relations degraded. But before the country's fledgling elite, the image of a prosperous Europe, neighboring Poland, loomed, which Ukraine surpassed in terms of industrial development at the end of the 80s, being a full-fledged component of the Soviet defense industry and civil engineering. All this came to an end with the victory of Euromaidan in 2014, the civil war of Kiev with Lugansk and Donetsk, the return of Crimea to Russia.
Kiev long before that began to show increased interest in NATO. The alliance did not slow down, spread networks after the European Union, aimed at the Crimea, primarily Sevastopol, in order to compress the ring of Russia's encirclement even more closely. Washington and Brussels, perhaps, will never forgive the Kremlin for this "strategic breach." Not all, but many of the springs of the current conflict in military-political relations between Russia and the West can be indirectly explained precisely by these events, at the beginning of which there was a violent coup d'état. His West supported, disregarding the interests of Russia. To promise – not to marry
The novel of the Ukrainian authorities with Washington and EvroNATOsoyuz contains many years. The West doesn't intend "to marry", but a money throws, weapon brings, can be in secret hopes that it will blaze.
The military ring appeared rather weakly, but the mad hope for economic blockade of Russia isn't lost yet. The conflict in which Ukraine will fall "a strategic victim" is for this purpose necessary. So, apparently, I calculated and I planned Washington. The White House, using the civil conflict, I intend to use Kiev as a ram for causing damage to the interests of Russia, at the same time creating these threats to security and to welfare of Europe, not to mention Ukraine.
Here also arrived as speak in Russia. After the answer of the White House concerning the Kremlin about security guarantees came, time to ask questions of the content of counterthreats for the West came. Namely actions of Russia which can "check" strategic nerves of present sponsors of Ukraine which were grouped around the U.S. Department of State and its current head. The main thing that sponsors actively use Ukraine in the diplomatic fuss.
It is impossible to ensure the safety at the expense of others, the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said, referring to provisions of the Istanbul declaration of OSCE of 1999 and also the Astana document of 2010. According to these documents, all countries of OSCE are committed to the principle of indivisibility of safety and undertake "to observe sacredly it". In this principle two elements are interconnected: (1) the right of each state to freely choose the military alliances and also (2) obligation of each state not to strengthen the safety due to safety of others admits.
The second part of this formula is consciously suppressed, and NATO recognizes what has the right to extend. "Neither the Istanbul, nor Astana declarations by our western partners in discussions about the European safety which take place now, are mentioned. They are diligently avoided, - Lavrov told.
The official refusal of the USA and NATO of observance of these conditions forming the principle of "indivisibility of safety" opens the immense horizons and oceans of opportunities in literal and figurative senses of these spaces. As limiters only the determination and financial resources, technologies and a flight of fancy and also … geography can serve here.
This the last and the most traditional of limiters of the USA and NATO was used almost completely. Fled Afghanistan, didn't manage to undermine Belarus, didn't manage to gain a foothold in Kazakhstan, conceded in Syria. Moscow improves the relations with Tashkent, other capitals of the countries of Central Asia are protected by the CSTO.
Someone for fun offered that Moscow would accompany the following steps (texts of documents) in negotiations with the USA with comics, for clarity. This language is familiar to Americans from the cradle. Not casually the Secretary of State Anthony Blinken resorted to children's associations, compared Ukraine with … the hen house. The chief diplomat of recently "main" country can apply for a contribution to the dictionary of diplomacy of a new figurative concept - "The Hen House on Blinkena"!
We will try to apply "Blinkena method" to our "postreciprocal" realities in the relations with Washington. It is known that in the taken place round of dialogue on granting security guarantees to Russia, the subordinated part was assigned to the European countries of NATO. For a while, their interests can conditionally be put aside at least because many Europeans began to understand what it is about.
Not to fat
The United States have hard times. Safety of their national territory didn't become the main priority yet. The feeling of invulnerability which is saved up decades is overcome hardly, or not called in question at all. Washington and Moscow resolutely dissociated from nuclear war in June, 2021 at the summit in Geneva, confirmed it with other permanent members of the UN Security Council in December, 2021. There are no other military threats to security of the USA.
Two conditional "points of vulnerability", nevertheless exist. It is the contract START and a so-called factor of "arrival time". It is possible to withdraw from the contract, especially if reliability of means of the missile defense grows. George Bush actually also made it in 2002, withdrew from the contract, having put emphasis on new technologies. Results of this step are known. The USA of a prize didn't receive, it is rather on the contrary.
But the threat of reduction of "arrival time" even for non-nuclear, but high-precision and heavy-duty non-nuclear charges in any given form will remain for a long time. The race of technologies in this area increases risks of technical failures and accidents. One can be told with confidence, referring to the President of Russia Vladimir Putin that safety of Russia and allies on the CSTO is reliably provided.
Status of "girlfriends"
During the briefing, the representative of the Foreign Ministry, answering the second question of the journalist of The Moscow Post, said that the words of the NATO Secretary General about the possibility of building up the forces of the alliance on its eastern flank create a negative background for negotiations to continue the dialogue on security guarantees. The alliance strengthens negotiating positions with military measures, Zaitsev added.
Starting the briefing, the representative of the information department noted a "comparative lull" on the contact line in the Donbass. This is evidenced by the reports of the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission. Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine A.M. Danilov said that he saw no reason for the allegations of individual representatives of Western countries about the impending "invasion" of Russia. A similar point of view is held by Minister of Defense A.Yu. Reznikov.
Further, Alexei Zaitsev said that the conversation between political advisers of the leaders of the "Norman format" countries in Paris was not easy. The main result of the diplomatic mission is the confirmation by all participants of the non-alternative Minsk agreements and the need to comply with measures to strengthen the ceasefire of July 22, 2020.
We hope that the meeting planned in Berlin will help find denouements on problems that have been accumulated for seven years, the issue of the status of Donbass will finally move from the "dead center," the diplomat suggested.
We'll hope so, too. True, the problem of diplomatic relations with Russia, dilapidated at the initiative of Ukraine, remains, as Alexey Zaitsev spoke about, answering the first question of The Moscow Post journalist. And it should be added that opinions and assessments in Kiev change day by day. From the outside, it seems that in this negotiation game of the West with Russia, Kiev was assigned the role of a joker in the sleeve. Does the Ukrainian elite understand this, time will tell.