Ukraine: coercion to the world
Against the background of failures at the front Ukraine is smoothly "brought" to negotiations with Moscow. But the world for Volodymyr Zelensky's team is similar to death.
In Ukraine the disorder and swaying continues: against the background of failures at the front, especially near Avdeyevka, local elite and their western curators speak more and more about an impasse and need to freeze the conflict.
The day before it became known that the Office of the president Volodymyr Zelensky tried to contact the American politician Donald Trump. Formally to soften a stand of republicans on allocation of "independent" financial aid of a new tranche, however experts see also other background. Trump has every chance to win presidential elections, and with him it is better "to make friends" now that there was no embarrassment, as at Petro Poroshenko.
And at this time in the West disperse a thesis more and stronger that "in the military way it won't be possible to decide", it is necessary to come for negotiations and to freeze the conflict.
Details - in material of the correspondent of The Moscow Post.
We will remind, the previous president of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko so believed in Hillary Clinton's victory in 2016 that he celebrated almost in advance her victory. Trump's victory led to serious cooling of the relations between Kiev and Washington. Now "smells" of the same therefore Volodymyr Zelensky looks for meetings with Trump - not so long ago he was invited to Kiev, but he diplomatically refused.
"The concept changed"
Along with it the chief eurodiplomat Zhozep Borel suddenly said on November 11 that it won't be possible to win against Russia in the military way. It strongly contrasts with what he told at the beginning of the conflict: Russia it is necessary to win on the battlefield. But with it somehow it wasn't set, especially against the background of news out of Avdeyevka (DPR) where on a neck of garrison of AFU the stranglehold drags on. Some more weeks, and it can finally be closed, having repeated well-known "coppers" of AFU near Ilovaisk and Debaltseve of 2015.
The current situation reminds more and more what was with Artemivsk when Zelensky's command threw all new reserves into fight, but achieved only reduction of own offensive potential, and lost the city. Today similar strategy with Avdeyevka causes more and more discontent with political decisions Bank.
Reserves of Ukraine less, now in the country the large-scale campaign at the call of in army of women is launched. And old men and students are attracted for a long time, videos disperse from prisoners of war of these age categories in Network. Unfortunate "counterattack" which cost to Ukraine under 90 thousand only the killed, showed to the whole world that the former strategy of the West for the Russian Federation failed.
The serious role was played also by the conflict in the Middle East which distracted big financial and military resources, and also divided the western societies into supporting and condemning Israel. Here and the day before the American Politico gave the insider that the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Mike Johnson elected at the end of October will refuse advance of a package of financing of Ukraine.
"Widely it is expected that Johnson won't advance a package of financing of Ukraine in spite of the fact that from the moment of the taking office he said publicly that "will divide" the help to Israel and Ukraine", - writes the edition. There added that all republicans of the USA will move in the same direction.
For "conciliation" of Russia and Ukraine also the concrete option is offered: the entry of Ukraine into NATO without return of territories which by results of referenda were a part of Russia. An opportunity to admit Ukraine to NATO in new borders was declared by the former NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen.
Certainly, the decision on freezing of the conflict from Ukraine and its western allies isn't accepted yet. For Volodymyr Zelensky it will be similar to death at all - he put everything on a victory, and the day before let know that this spring you shouldn't wait for presidential elections. It caused a barrage of criticism - generally from those who left the country. As, for example, Aleksei Arestovich entered in the list of terrorists and extremists in the Russian Federation. The last declared the presidential ambitions and hinted that Zelensky turns into the dictator more and more.
It is no wonder that it is safely possible to criticize Zelensky only out of Ukraine. In the country a massive campaign on fight with objectionable, all opposition parties are actually banned, and the media space is reduced in one "carousel" - a daily round-the-clock "uniform" marathon which is controlled by Zelensky's functionaries.
Finding the Guilty
Since the territories cannot be returned (rather, they will lose more), someone will have to be accused of failure. And who, if not Zelensky? Only "scapegoats" from the military command, first of all, the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny. He is also called a likely candidate to replace Zelensky. Recently, there has been a massive media and hardware attack on Zaluzhny.
In early November, the Head of the Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Viktor Khorenko, one of Zaluzhny's closest associates, was dismissed through Zaluzhny's head. Both learned about this from the media, which caused a real scandal. At the same time, the Western press favors Zaluzhny, which further annoys the Office of the President.
A few days ago, Gennady Chastyakov, Zaluzhny's assistant, died from a grenade explosion in his own house. The explosive device was in one of the gifts that he received for his birthday. This gave rise to a lot of conspiracy theories: allegedly, the Office of the President thus makes it clear to the commander of the Armed Forces of Ukraine that it is better for him to moderate political ambitions. How can you not remember the murder of the Russian military commander Vladlen Tatarsky, carried out by the Ukrainian special services?
The failures of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the front provoke speculation about the freezing of the conflict and internal contradictions in the Ukrainian leadership. Photo: https://politeka.net/images/2022/05/13/riWGblUSgOPzJwlEXkQnMIZ24SlpjZDqsiXIUcjB.jpeg
It is assumed that much will be decided this winter and next spring. And after the presidential elections in Russia and the elections in the United States in November 2024, an attempt by the West is possible to reach some kind of agreement with Moscow. Of course, the Kremlin is well aware that freezing the conflict is beneficial to Ukraine so that it can transfer forces. Earlier, Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Head of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, repeatedly drew the attention to this. So the military-political leadership of Russia is not going to follow the lead of Western fake "kindness."
Photo: News of Sevastopol